Prospects for Cuba the possibility the successor to Castro fall today is not realistic due to the domestic popularity of Fidel and his movement and the international context. Cannot it be ruled out that he, like its Caribbean antipode Balaguer, reaches the nineties in power (though now Castro do without having their principal offices). The Castroite ufanan that their leader has withstood 638 attempts by the CIA to assassinate him and that he will also resist one decade more in Palace. Certainly for us the the Castro regime is an eternal headache. The Republican strategy is that of confrontation and that has involved the adoption of a new round of funds to gestate its downfall. Possibly a new democratic administration (if) could seek a reconciliation with Fidel. Ultimately Washington allowed the Japanese Emperor Hiro milestone to stay in power despite having led the Nippon Empire attacking millions of Americans. Certainly, the monarch of the rising sun accepted unconditional surrender and appear as a symbol without greater power that left the United States restructure their country, something that Fidel would not accept.
Obama has raised the possibility of meeting directly with the castro or even cease the blockade and restore embassies while the latter would depend on concessions from Havana. Some sectors in the United States seeking a Gorbachov wing in the Cuban PCs and believe that Raul Castro might open that path. However, the way in which Fidel has designated his brother as his first successor is something that reminds us to Korea of the North where Kim Il Sung was the first Communist leader to leave power to someone in your family (to his son heir). For many these seems a monarchy or dynasty red and therefore a contradiction with Communism that proclaims the disappearance of privileges, inheritances and classes. For Liberals, this is a sample of the hypocrisy of communism and to the more orthodox Marxists this is a sign that the Castroism has burocratizado.